P-ISSN 2587-2400 | E-ISSN 2587-196X
EJMO. 2021; 5(1): 43-53 | DOI: 10.14744/ejmo.2021.89947

Estimation of Death and Recovery Rates using Covid-19 Data of Pakistan

Muhammad Kashif1, Rimsha Nasir1, Hafiza Nida1, Muhammad Imran Khan1
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan,

Objectives: The aim of this study is to estimate the recovery rate and death rate of the Covid-19 patients in Pakistan both at provincial level and at national level. Methods: In the current study simple linear regression model is used to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) and recovery rate (RR). Also, the polynomial regression model has been employed to predict the infected patients of Covid-19 across Pakistan and for all its provinces. Results: The results indicate that the provinces: Punjab, Sindh, KPK and ICT have been projected to be sensitive regarding COVID-19. Conclusion: it is strongly suggested that prevention must be considered, and full attention must be provided by each citizen to follow the SOPs recommend by health department. If responsible attitude will not be expressed by individuals, then there is chance of increase of COVID patients again and put the country back in struggle. Keywords: COVID-19, Pakistan, regression model, CFR, RR, Predictions

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Kashif M, Nasir R, Nida H, Khan M. Estimation of Death and Recovery Rates using Covid-19 Data of Pakistan. EJMO. 2021; 5(1): 43-53

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